Aviation & Aerospace Forecasts

This study is ICAO's initial response to the market demand and is the first in a series that will provide data, analyses, and forecasts to all key players of the civil aviation industry. The first part of this study describes the methodology. In the second part, future air transport developments, including traffic, movement and fleet growth forecasts are described. Based on underlying conditions presented in the first two parts, personnel requirements are introduced in the study for three aviation personnel professions (pilots, maintenance personnel and air traffic controllers). An overview of each region's particular situation, including country case studies, is finally provided.

This report was inspired by the knowledge that a large cross-section of U.S. manufacturing is disappearing or moving off shore. The question addressed in this report is, “Will the U.S. aerospace manufacturing industry be next?” The AERO 2010 Report is divided into seven distinct chapters, with each chapter building on previous chapters. Each chapter also includes definitions, bibliographic references, and an explanation of acronyms.

The FAA Aerospace Forecast 2018-38 is developed to support budget and planning needs of the FAA. The forecasts are developed using statistical models to explain and incorporate emerging trends of the different segments of the aviation industry. This year's document contains updated forecasts for US airline traffic and capacity, FAA workload, General Aviation activity and pilots, as well as Commercial Space and Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) fleet and remote pilots.

The Federal Aviation Administration’s (FAA) annual 12-year forecast is utilized for both manpower and facility planning as well as for policy and regulatory analysis. The latest 12-year forecast (FAA-APO-04-1, FAA Aerospace Forecasts: Fiscal Years 2004-2015, March 2004) provides projections of aviation activity and FAA workload measures through the year 2015. Periodically, a need arises for projections of aviation demand and activity beyond the published horizon. This document was developed to meet these needs, and contains projections for commercial and general aviation aircraft fleet and hours, air carrier and regional/commuter passenger enplanements (domestic and international), and air carrier air cargo revenue ton-miles (RTMs).

The Aerospace Industry Report 4th Edition addresses aerospace manufacturing and the national economy, the international economy, and the global aerospace marketplace. It also includes data on the U.S. aerospace workforce, aerospace clusters, the financial state of the aerospace industry, alternative financing techniques for small to medium manufacturers. Summaries of aerospace trade with Brazil, Russia, India and China (the BRIC countries) are included and topics such as supply chain risk management, counterfeit parts, cyber security, the integration of unmanned aircraft systems into the U.S. national airspace system, and America's role in space are also addressed. The report concludes with a summary of forecasts from different sources and an outlook for the industry for 2015 and beyond. The Aerospace Industry Report 4th Edition is over 300 pages long and includes over 200 pages of facts, figures, and tables filled with data on the industry.